Barrels von Öl je Einwohner aufgetragen über die Zeit in Jahreszahlen;
How big is the problem?
Multiplying production (barrels per year) times the oil price (dollars per barrel) gives a total cost in dollars per year. It's an enormous number; tens of trillions of dollars per year. To put a scale on it, the three thin curves on the graph show the oil cost in contrast to the
total world domestic product; the annual value the goods and services added up for all the world's countries. The three curves show the oil cost at one percent, two and a half percent, and five percent of the total world economic output.
At $130, we are at six and a half percent.
If we see oil at $300 per barrel, we will be looking out over the smoldering ruins of the world's economy.
Oil production obviously cannot consume 100 percent of the world's income.
My intuitive, uninformed guess is that it cannot go above 15 percent. If we see oil at $300 per barrel, we will be looking out over the smoldering ruins of the world's economy.
Quelle:
http://www.princeton.edu/hubbert/current-events.html