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Benjamin · 04-01-2006, 08:10

22.12.2005
Öl: Steigendes Angebot, Risiko Iran

"Bald werden wir uns von einem der außergewöhnlichsten Jahre in der Geschichte der Ölmärkte verabschieden", erklärt Craig Pennington, Portfoliomanager für globale Energien bei Schroders. "Für 2006 sollte man aber keineswegs ein weniger interessantes und volatiles Jahr erwarten", fügt er an.

Rückgang der Ölpreise

Für die kommenden Jahre rechnet Pennington mit einem Rückgang der Ölpreise, da die OPEC-Staaten neue Kapazitäten erschließen würden. "Und dies gilt auch für Rußland, Westafrika, das Kaspische Meer und die Tiefwasser-Anlagen in Mexiko", so der Schroder-Experte. Doch Pennington sieht auch Risiken: "Verfolgen Sie aufmerksam die Entwicklung des iranischen Atomproblems", warnt er.
------------------------------------------------
Dec. 29 (Bloomberg, Auszug)

New York oil futures will average $60 a barrel in the first quarter of 2006 , according to the median forecast of 25 Wall Street analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Prices will average $58 in all of 2006 , the survey shows.
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Iran To Resume Nuclear Fuel Research
01-03-06 04:43 PM EST

Iran told the U.N. nuclear watchdog on Tuesday it planned to resume nuclear fuel research after a 2 1/2-year hiatus, a vague declaration that was likely, nevertheless, to be taken in the West as fresh evidence Tehran was trying to build an atomic weapon.

Mohammad Saeedi, deputy head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, said research would "resume in cooperation and coordination with the IAEA in the next few days," adding that it would "have little to do with the production of nuclear fuel."

Beyond that, he would not specify what type of research Tehran planned but claimed the country's nuclear program had suffered significantly during the research suspension. He said Iran could no longer keep its research scientists in limbo.

Hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, meanwhile, told lawmakers Tuesday that he had abandoned his predecessor's policy of trying to mollify the west because the policy proved "fruitless," the official Islamic Republic News Agency reported.

"The president insisted that Iran's policy of detente in the past 16 years, including the policy of getting closer to Europe, has been fruitless and without any benefit for Iran," lawmaker Kazem Jalali was quoted as saying.

The Iranian mission to the IAEA told the agency that Iran "has decided to resume from 9 February 2006 ... R&D (research and development) on the peaceful nuclear energy program which has been suspended," ElBaradei told the IAEA's board.

A European diplomat accredited to the agency said it was too early to evaluate the significance of the move and whether it would scuttle talks planned for later this month.

The E.U. has previously said that any decision by Iran to resume work on its uranium enrichment program would be "the red line" that would end European attempts to negotiate differences with Iran.

Furthermore, the E.U. has said a resumption of work on the program would revive attempts to take Iran to the U.N. Security Council for violating the nuclear nonproliferation treaty .

But the diplomat, who demanded anonymity in exchange for discussing E.U. strategy, said the Europeans needed details of precisely what Iran planned to research before making a decision on future talks.

While refusing to permanently renounce uranium enrichment, Iran suspended many aspects of its nuclear fuel program in 2003 as a gesture of good will during negotiations with the big three European powers, Britain, France and Germany.

The negotiations collapsed in August after Iran resumed uranium reprocessing activities, a step before enrichment, at its Uranium Conversion Facility in Isfahan, central Iran.

While the two sides resumed dialogue last month, talks have so far failed to resolve the dispute. Further talks are scheduled for later this month.

Later Sunday, Ahmadinejad told the parliament that his government won't back down over the nuclear dispute with the West, saying Iran "can not regulate our interests on the basis of their policies."

"They (the West) are so brazen that if we allow them, they will say we have to close down universities. Probably they (the West) will make a hue and cry (about Iran's new decision). But we, without paying attention to that, will continue work within international regulations," he said.

04-01-2006, 08:10	#700
Benjamin TBB Family Registriert seit: Mar 2004 Beiträge: 10.373	22.12.2005 Öl: Steigendes Angebot, Risiko Iran "Bald werden wir uns von einem der außergewöhnlichsten Jahre in der Geschichte der Ölmärkte verabschieden", erklärt Craig Pennington, Portfoliomanager für globale Energien bei Schroders. "Für 2006 sollte man aber keineswegs ein weniger interessantes und volatiles Jahr erwarten", fügt er an. Rückgang der Ölpreise Für die kommenden Jahre rechnet Pennington mit einem Rückgang der Ölpreise, da die OPEC-Staaten neue Kapazitäten erschließen würden. "Und dies gilt auch für Rußland, Westafrika, das Kaspische Meer und die Tiefwasser-Anlagen in Mexiko", so der Schroder-Experte. Doch Pennington sieht auch Risiken: "Verfolgen Sie aufmerksam die Entwicklung des iranischen Atomproblems", warnt er. ------------------------------------------------ Dec. 29 (Bloomberg, Auszug) New York oil futures will average $60 a barrel in the first quarter of 2006 , according to the median forecast of 25 Wall Street analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Prices will average $58 in all of 2006 , the survey shows. --------------------------------------------- Iran To Resume Nuclear Fuel Research 01-03-06 04:43 PM EST Iran told the U.N. nuclear watchdog on Tuesday it planned to resume nuclear fuel research after a 2 1/2-year hiatus, a vague declaration that was likely, nevertheless, to be taken in the West as fresh evidence Tehran was trying to build an atomic weapon. Mohammad Saeedi, deputy head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, said research would "resume in cooperation and coordination with the IAEA in the next few days," adding that it would "have little to do with the production of nuclear fuel." Beyond that, he would not specify what type of research Tehran planned but claimed the country's nuclear program had suffered significantly during the research suspension. He said Iran could no longer keep its research scientists in limbo. Hard-line President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, meanwhile, told lawmakers Tuesday that he had abandoned his predecessor's policy of trying to mollify the west because the policy proved "fruitless," the official Islamic Republic News Agency reported. "The president insisted that Iran's policy of detente in the past 16 years, including the policy of getting closer to Europe, has been fruitless and without any benefit for Iran," lawmaker Kazem Jalali was quoted as saying. The Iranian mission to the IAEA told the agency that Iran "has decided to resume from 9 February 2006 ... R&D (research and development) on the peaceful nuclear energy program which has been suspended," ElBaradei told the IAEA's board. A European diplomat accredited to the agency said it was too early to evaluate the significance of the move and whether it would scuttle talks planned for later this month. The E.U. has previously said that any decision by Iran to resume work on its uranium enrichment program would be "the red line" that would end European attempts to negotiate differences with Iran. Furthermore, the E.U. has said a resumption of work on the program would revive attempts to take Iran to the U.N. Security Council for violating the nuclear nonproliferation treaty . But the diplomat, who demanded anonymity in exchange for discussing E.U. strategy, said the Europeans needed details of precisely what Iran planned to research before making a decision on future talks. While refusing to permanently renounce uranium enrichment, Iran suspended many aspects of its nuclear fuel program in 2003 as a gesture of good will during negotiations with the big three European powers, Britain, France and Germany. The negotiations collapsed in August after Iran resumed uranium reprocessing activities, a step before enrichment, at its Uranium Conversion Facility in Isfahan, central Iran. While the two sides resumed dialogue last month, talks have so far failed to resolve the dispute. Further talks are scheduled for later this month. Later Sunday, Ahmadinejad told the parliament that his government won't back down over the nuclear dispute with the West, saying Iran "can not regulate our interests on the basis of their policies." "They (the West) are so brazen that if we allow them, they will say we have to close down universities. Probably they (the West) will make a hue and cry (about Iran's new decision). But we, without paying attention to that, will continue work within international regulations," he said.