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Die USA sind mittelfristig offenbar am Anfang eines konjunkturellen Abschwungs:
The Philadelphia Fed index predicts the six-month growth rate by analyzing state data including housing permits, initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.
The forecast puts the number of states at risk of slipping into contraction at the highest since July 2009, the data show.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia releases six-month leading indexes for the 50 states on a monthly basis.
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