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Benjamin · 16-09-2011, 12:13

Beyond Collapse: Archaeological Perspectives on Resilience, Revitalization, and Transformation in Complex Societies
46€, https://www.amazon.de/Beyond-Collaps...intl-de&sr=1-1
http://felixzulauf.com/media/

22.01.2016:
Zulauf: «Nun muss man in die Stärke verkaufen»
http://www.fuw.ch/article/zulauf-nun...rke-verkaufen/

After Collapse: The Regeneration of Complex Societies [Taschenbuch]
Glenn M. Schwartz (Herausgeber), John J. Nichols (Herausgeber)
Taschenbuch: 336 Seiten
From the Euphrates Valley to the southern Peruvian Andes, early complex societies have risen and fallen, but in some cases they have also been reborn. Prior archaeological investigation of these societies has focused primarily on emergence and collapse. This is the first book-length work to examine the question of how and why early complex urban societies have reappeared after periods of decentralization and collapse. Ranging widely across the Near East, the Aegean, East Asia, Mesoamerica, and the Andes, these cross-cultural studies expand our understanding of social evolution by examining how societies were transformed during the period of radical change now termed “collapse.” They seek to discover how societal complexity reemerged, how second-generation states formed, and how these re-emergent states resembled or differed from the complex societies that preceded them. The contributors draw on material culture as well as textual and ethnohistoric data to consider such factors as preexistent institutions, structures, and ideologies that are influential in regeneration; economic and political resilience; the role of social mobility, marginal groups, and peripheries; and ethnic change. In addition to presenting a number of theoretical viewpoints, the contributors also propose reasons why regeneration sometimes does not occur after collapse. A concluding contribution by Norman Yoffee provides a critical exegesis of “collapse” and highlights important patterns found in the case histories related to peripheral regions and secondary elites, and to the ideology of statecraft. After Collapse blazes new research trails in both archaeology and the study of social change, demonstrating that the archaeological record often offers more clues to the “dark ages” that precede regeneration than do text-based studies. It opens up a new window on the past by shifting the focus away from the rise and fall of ancient civilizations to their often more telling fall and rise.
http://www.amazon.de/After-Collapse-...6122274&sr=1-1

Einzelkämpfer:
Jay Hanson's Homepage: http://dieoff.org/dieoffindex.html
Paul Chefurka: http://www.paulchefurka.ca/

Linklisten:
von extern: http://www.beyondpeak.com/societies-...-collapse.html
Von mir: http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...ter#post360995
http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...ter#post329510

Timing-Überlegungen zur Zukunft von mir: http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...light=Peak+Oil

Von mir: Anteil Energiekosten am BIP
http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...t=energy+spent

Auf in die Post-Kollaps-Gesellschaft
Egal, was wir tun – der Weg in eine nachhaltige Welt wird durch ein Tal der Tränen führen.
Statt unsere Kräfte im Versuch zu vergeuden, den Kollaps aufhalten zu wollen,
sollten wir uns mit aller Kraft auf die Welt vorbereiten, in der wir dann leben werden.
http://www.oya-online.de/media/downl...s-Heimrath.pdf
http://www.oya-online.de/article/rea...ellschaft.html

Eine im August 2010 veröffentlichte Studie der Bundeswehr:
"Peak Oil - Sicherheitspolitische Implikationen knapper Ressourcen"
http://www.utopia.de/uploads/assets/...Ressourcen.pdf

Decentralization: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decentralization

Local government, Decentralisation
http://www.communities.gov.uk/localg...entralisation/

Sozial ist, wer jetzt aussteigt!
Der Sozialstaat muss radikal neu anfangen. Mit Hilfe der Komplexitätsforschung – ein Essay von Ulrike Fokken
ChangeX – das unabhängige Online-Magazin für Wandel in Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, 1. Juni 2005
http://antworten-aus-der-natur.de/texte/text-nr-1/

http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/159...cm_cr_asin_lnk

http://www.amazon.com/End-Growth-Ada...pr_product_top

http://www.amazon.com/Long-Descent-U...ref=pd_sim_b19

http://www.amazon.de/Schlachtfeld-Er...pr_product_top

http://www.amazon.de/Ausgebrannt-Thr...ref=pd_sim_b25

http://www.amazon.de/Sustainability-...6182548&sr=1-4

http://www.amazon.de/The-Long-Emerge...pr_product_top

Video:
History Channel, After Armageddon, Teile 1-9
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8r97xoSOEjM

Tipping Point
Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production
An Outline Review
56 Seiten
http://www.feasta.org/documents/risk...ping_Point.pdf

EROEI bzw. EREI:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EROEI (deutsch)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_...nergy_invested (englisch)

83 Seiten
http://www.postcarbon.org/report/443...-for-a-miracle
http://www.postcarbon.org/new-site-f...web10nov09.pdf

EROI bzw. EROEI wird uns einen schnelleren Kollaps bzw. Absturz bringen, als es die üblichen symetrischen Hubbert-Kurven andeuteten.
The Net Hubbert Curve: What Does It Mean?
http://netenergy.theoildrum.com/node/5500
Declining EROI means that the amount of discretionary energy available to society is FAR less than that predicted by a Hubbert curve (Figure 2). The Hubbert curve represents the total gross quantity of energy available, and, as it is calculated, there are equal quantities of energy available on the left and right side of the peak. This, however, is only true in a gross sense. The net energy available (i.e. discretionary energy) is less. In other words, declining EROI means that there will be much less net energy extracted post-peak than pre-peak on the Hubbert curve.

To understand this in greater depth, I quantified this relationship by first creating a replicate of the Hubbert curve published in 1971. I then applied the three point values of EROI over the past century (i.e. 1930 = 100:1, 1970 = 30:1, and 2000=11:1), and interpolated linearly the values between the points and into the future to a minimum EROI of 1.1:1. I have no a priori reason to believe that EROI has declined linearly or that it will decline to 1.1 and then level off, but it has certainly declined in the past and as long as it is declining the general results reported here are valid.

I then used the following equation to calculate the percent of net energy available from the gross energy produced: (Siehe Chart unten)

Für eine Analogie in die Wirtschaft ist dieses Posting wichtig: http://www.traderboersenboard.de/sho...8&postcount=68

16-09-2011, 12:13	#2
Benjamin TBB Family Registriert seit: Mar 2004 Beiträge: 10.373	Beyond Collapse: Archaeological Perspectives on Resilience, Revitalization, and Transformation in Complex Societies 46€, https://www.amazon.de/Beyond-Collaps...intl-de&sr=1-1 http://felixzulauf.com/media/ 22.01.2016: Zulauf: «Nun muss man in die Stärke verkaufen» http://www.fuw.ch/article/zulauf-nun...rke-verkaufen/ After Collapse: The Regeneration of Complex Societies [Taschenbuch] Glenn M. Schwartz (Herausgeber), John J. Nichols (Herausgeber) Taschenbuch: 336 Seiten From the Euphrates Valley to the southern Peruvian Andes, early complex societies have risen and fallen, but in some cases they have also been reborn. Prior archaeological investigation of these societies has focused primarily on emergence and collapse. This is the first book-length work to examine the question of how and why early complex urban societies have reappeared after periods of decentralization and collapse. Ranging widely across the Near East, the Aegean, East Asia, Mesoamerica, and the Andes, these cross-cultural studies expand our understanding of social evolution by examining how societies were transformed during the period of radical change now termed “collapse.” They seek to discover how societal complexity reemerged, how second-generation states formed, and how these re-emergent states resembled or differed from the complex societies that preceded them. The contributors draw on material culture as well as textual and ethnohistoric data to consider such factors as preexistent institutions, structures, and ideologies that are influential in regeneration; economic and political resilience; the role of social mobility, marginal groups, and peripheries; and ethnic change. In addition to presenting a number of theoretical viewpoints, the contributors also propose reasons why regeneration sometimes does not occur after collapse. A concluding contribution by Norman Yoffee provides a critical exegesis of “collapse” and highlights important patterns found in the case histories related to peripheral regions and secondary elites, and to the ideology of statecraft. After Collapse blazes new research trails in both archaeology and the study of social change, demonstrating that the archaeological record often offers more clues to the “dark ages” that precede regeneration than do text-based studies. It opens up a new window on the past by shifting the focus away from the rise and fall of ancient civilizations to their often more telling fall and rise. http://www.amazon.de/After-Collapse-...6122274&sr=1-1 Einzelkämpfer: Jay Hanson's Homepage: http://dieoff.org/dieoffindex.html Paul Chefurka: http://www.paulchefurka.ca/ Linklisten: von extern: http://www.beyondpeak.com/societies-...-collapse.html Von mir: http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...ter#post360995 http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...ter#post329510 Timing-Überlegungen zur Zukunft von mir: http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...light=Peak+Oil Von mir: Anteil Energiekosten am BIP http://www.ftor.de/tbb/showthread.ph...t=energy+spent Auf in die Post-Kollaps-Gesellschaft Egal, was wir tun – der Weg in eine nachhaltige Welt wird durch ein Tal der Tränen führen. Statt unsere Kräfte im Versuch zu vergeuden, den Kollaps aufhalten zu wollen, sollten wir uns mit aller Kraft auf die Welt vorbereiten, in der wir dann leben werden. http://www.oya-online.de/media/downl...s-Heimrath.pdf http://www.oya-online.de/article/rea...ellschaft.html Eine im August 2010 veröffentlichte Studie der Bundeswehr: "Peak Oil - Sicherheitspolitische Implikationen knapper Ressourcen" http://www.utopia.de/uploads/assets/...Ressourcen.pdf Decentralization: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decentralization Local government, Decentralisation http://www.communities.gov.uk/localg...entralisation/ Sozial ist, wer jetzt aussteigt! Der Sozialstaat muss radikal neu anfangen. Mit Hilfe der Komplexitätsforschung – ein Essay von Ulrike Fokken ChangeX – das unabhängige Online-Magazin für Wandel in Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, 1. Juni 2005 http://antworten-aus-der-natur.de/texte/text-nr-1/ http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/159...cm_cr_asin_lnk http://www.amazon.com/End-Growth-Ada...pr_product_top http://www.amazon.com/Long-Descent-U...ref=pd_sim_b19 http://www.amazon.de/Schlachtfeld-Er...pr_product_top http://www.amazon.de/Ausgebrannt-Thr...ref=pd_sim_b25 http://www.amazon.de/Sustainability-...6182548&sr=1-4 http://www.amazon.de/The-Long-Emerge...pr_product_top Video: History Channel, After Armageddon, Teile 1-9 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8r97xoSOEjM Tipping Point Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production An Outline Review 56 Seiten http://www.feasta.org/documents/risk...ping_Point.pdf EROEI bzw. EREI: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EROEI (deutsch) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_...nergy_invested (englisch) 83 Seiten http://www.postcarbon.org/report/443...-for-a-miracle http://www.postcarbon.org/new-site-f...web10nov09.pdf EROI bzw. EROEI wird uns einen schnelleren Kollaps bzw. Absturz bringen, als es die üblichen symetrischen Hubbert-Kurven andeuteten. The Net Hubbert Curve: What Does It Mean? http://netenergy.theoildrum.com/node/5500 Declining EROI means that the amount of discretionary energy available to society is FAR less than that predicted by a Hubbert curve (Figure 2). The Hubbert curve represents the total gross quantity of energy available, and, as it is calculated, there are equal quantities of energy available on the left and right side of the peak. This, however, is only true in a gross sense. The net energy available (i.e. discretionary energy) is less. In other words, declining EROI means that there will be much less net energy extracted post-peak than pre-peak on the Hubbert curve. To understand this in greater depth, I quantified this relationship by first creating a replicate of the Hubbert curve published in 1971. I then applied the three point values of EROI over the past century (i.e. 1930 = 100:1, 1970 = 30:1, and 2000=11:1), and interpolated linearly the values between the points and into the future to a minimum EROI of 1.1:1. I have no a priori reason to believe that EROI has declined linearly or that it will decline to 1.1 and then level off, but it has certainly declined in the past and as long as it is declining the general results reported here are valid. I then used the following equation to calculate the percent of net energy available from the gross energy produced: (Siehe Chart unten) Für eine Analogie in die Wirtschaft ist dieses Posting wichtig: http://www.traderboersenboard.de/sho...8&postcount=68 Geändert von Benjamin (16-05-2016 um 17:45 Uhr)